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Old January 8th, 2009, 07:12 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Palm New OS better then Android? A true Ipod Challenger?

Palm introduced the Pre today at CES and i must say, it looks slicker and sexier then Android. The icons are modern and have a gloss and the hardware is a bit sexier then the G1. What i found really interesting is the reaction from people, especially many of the commentators on the iphone friendly blog engadget. Iphone users loved the interface.

article, pics, videos here http://www.engadget.com/2009/01/08/palm-pre-in-depth-impressions-video-and-huge-hands-on-gallery/3#c16471997

here's something else to notice. Shares of Palm jumped 34% even though the the dow was down. Clearly some investors think it's a winner too. Google by the way was up only .99%

Is Android in danger? I don't see any android phones on the way in the states. The interface though, nice is not slick, and the menus lack the sheen or gloss you see in OS's like Leapord or say Vista or even on the ipod, that i think wow people. It's a bit utilitarian.

What do you think? is this a true competitor to the ipod? Is it going to leapfrog Android in the mobile OS wars?

Does google need to take immediate steps to either update the UI or release a way to skin the UI, or both?

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Old January 8th, 2009, 07:26 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Palm introduced the Pre today at CES and i must say, it looks slicker and sexier then Android. The icons are modern and have a gloss and the hardware is a bit sexier then the G1. What i found really interesting is the reaction from people, especially many of the commentators on the iphone friendly blog engadget. Iphone users loved the interface.

article, pics, videos here http://www.engadget.com/2009/01/08/palm-pre-in-depth-impressions-video-and-huge-hands-on-gallery/3#c16471997

here's something else to notice. Shares of Palm jumped 34% even though the the dow was down. Clearly some investors think it's a winner too. Google by the way was up only .99%

Is Android in danger? I don't see any android phones on the way in the states. The interface though, nice is not slick, and the menus lack the sheen or gloss you see in OS's like Leapord or say Vista or even on the ipod, that i think wow people. It's a bit utilitarian.

What do you think? is this a true competitor to the ipod? Is it going to leapfrog Android in the mobile OS wars?

Does google need to take immediate steps to either update the UI or release a way to skin the UI, or both?

While I have to disagree about the looks and layout of the phone (personal choice) I do agree the software is really nice looking and polished. But looks are not the only thing to consider so without using it I can't say one way or the other on if I would choose it and it's operating system over apple or android....

As far as the OS wars I think you overlooked the most important thing OPEN SOURCE this is the draw to android for almost ALL the users and manufacturer draw would be simply FREE OS.....That being said however you also must take into consideration that this software is barley out of the beta stage give it time man and yes there are MANY android phones on the way but they will probably not hit until later this year my guess is most companies are waiting for a few things... android's cupcake update allowing more features to be used properly and for paid apps to have time to develop a following....
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Old January 8th, 2009, 08:21 PM   #3 (permalink)
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wow...did NOT expect to be impressed by Palm this much, but I am.

The OS is VERY sleek, very responsive.
  • High-speed wireless (EV-DO Rev. A or HSDPA, depending on version)
  • 802.11b / g WiFi
  • Integrated GPS
  • 3.1-inch 24-bit color 480 x 320 display
  • Dedicated gesture area below display
  • Slide-out portrait QWERTY keyboard
  • Exchange email support in addition to POP and IMAP
  • IM, MMS, and SMS messaging
  • High-performance browser
  • 3-megapixel camera with LED flash and "extended depth of field"
  • 3.5mm headphone jack
  • Bluetooth 2.1 + EDR with A2DP
  • 8GB of internal storage
  • USB mass storage mode
  • MicroUSB connectivity with USB 2.0
  • Proximity sensor for detecting when phone is near face
  • Light sensor to automatically dim display
  • Ringer mute switch
  • Removable rechargeable battery
  • 59.57 x 100.53 x 16.95mm closed
  • 4.76 ounces
Nice.

If I were to switch to Sprint ever (I have a company discount with them), I always thought I'd go with an htc phone, but seeing as all their current htc phones are WinMo, this would be MUCH better.

edit: Seriously, no one else is posting in this thread? I'm still reading up on it, that's how impressed I am. Not just me, it's the general consensus online as well.
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Old January 8th, 2009, 09:56 PM   #4 (permalink)
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As far as the OS wars I think you overlooked the most important thing OPEN SOURCE this is the draw to android for almost ALL the users and manufacturer draw would be simply FREE OS
in my experience that is not the reason the average consumer buys a phone. when i've been in the T-mobile store i've never heard anyone say they want a G1 because it's open source. Not saying it doesn't happen or your a liar or anything. It's just not my experience. That usually just buy a phone that does whatever it is they want, looks good, performs good, etc. If it does more of whatever that person wants becasue it's open source great but they aren't out crusading for open source. That seems to be more of an early adopter/techy guy approach. For example, Firefox is great and open source but i'd guess most people buy it for the simple reason that it does what they want.

In the space of small electronics i don't think giving it time is a sound business strategy. They could find themselves behind because they didn't act fast enough.

And Ipod and it's OS are the big dogs in the yard now and i think the major appeal, along with it being an ipod, is it's realatively clean, sleek, and approachable to the average user. And i don't think you can ever discount how important looks are to a consumer product. as for new android phones i know you're right. That said, i've never seen one that's coming out anytime soon. A new Windows Mobile phone seems to get announced every week.
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Old January 8th, 2009, 10:14 PM   #5 (permalink)
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in my experience that is not the reason the average consumer buys a phone. That may be have added benefits but they want a phone that does whatever it is they want, looks good, performs good, etc. If it does more of whatever that person wants becasue it's open source great but they aren't out crusading for open source. That seems to be more of an early adopter/techy guy approach. For example, Firefox is great and open source but i'd guess most people buy it for the simple reason that it does what they want.

And Ipod and it's OS are the big dogs in the yard now and i think the major appeal, along with it being an ipod, is it's realatively clean, sleek, and approachable to the average user. And i don't think you can ever discount how important looks are to a consumer product.
While I have to concede you are right as far as the impulse buyers and gotta have it people go... but those people who actually use the phones for purpose beyond the look what I have bit put research and thought into what they buy and why they buy it... We do look for things like open source or potential development.... As far as apple they were HUGE innovators NO one can deny it! but in just a few short years people are moving away from them for other choices and it's not because of a lack of clean sleek and refined software it's because of the limits the software has currently hit and will continue to hit in the future... As phones become more like PC's people will start to look for these kind of things more and more without question....
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Old January 8th, 2009, 10:16 PM   #6 (permalink)
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edit: Seriously, no one else is posting in this thread? I'm still reading up on it, that's how impressed I am. Not just me, it's the general consensus online as well.
That's exactly why i brought it up. I'm not even sold on the shape of the phone. i do like my physical keyboards though.
PCMag says


The Palm Pre: CES 2009's Hottest Product http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2338482,00.asp

USA Today reported on it
Palm's new Pre smartphone gets lots of good buzz
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/wireless/phones/2009-01-08-palm-smartphone-pre_N.htm

Hell it could be a complete fail but it could provide competition and push the android developers and be a longterm win for Android users.
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Old January 8th, 2009, 10:26 PM   #7 (permalink)
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While I have to concede you are right as far as the impulse buyers and gotta have it people go... but those people who actually use the phones for purpose beyond the look what I have bit put research and thought into what they buy and why they buy it... We do look for things like open source or potential development.... As far as apple they were HUGE innovators NO one can deny it! but in just a few short years people are moving away from them for other choices and it's not because of a lack of clean sleek and refined software it's because of the limits the software has currently hit and will continue to hit in the future... As phones become more like PC's people will start to look for these kind of things more and more without question....
maybe you're right. i don't know that in terms of handset sales whether people are actually moving away from the ipod. I don't have numbers though. But i'm not really talking about impulse buyers. I was talking about those that do research. I just don't think most of those people are buying because of open source. The housewives, business people, average female shopper? They just say it's cool. but like i said maybe this will make the Android guys push out some new innovative features.
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Old January 8th, 2009, 10:38 PM   #8 (permalink)
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maybe you're right. i don't know that in terms of handset sales whether people are actually moving away from the ipod. I don't have numbers though. But i'm not really talking about impulse buyers. I was talking about those that do research. I just don't think most of those people are buying because of open source. The housewives, business people, average female shopper? They just say it's cool. but like i said maybe this will make the Android guys push out some new innovative features.
I think the best thing to do here is to agree we are both right.... we could go on and on and both continue to make very valid points from obviously different points of view but I will have to say the new linux kernel in the pre is a win but the fact it is not yet backwards compatible it a HUGE drawback for me!

As per the article on PCMAG -

"one thing that could bother a lot of devoted Treo users: offer backward compatibility for existing Palm apps. There's no SDK yet, but it will likely be announced soon. Palm reps told me that rewriting code for this platform should be trivial; that remains to be seen."
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Old January 9th, 2009, 04:28 AM   #9 (permalink)
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i spoke to a someone at CES. No Android phones are there. The only android device was the tablet. He said, if there is an android phone that's going to come out this year nobody but insiders know about it. Did say the pre was all the buzz. I do get your backward compatibility point. I haven't had a palm since like the palm two so that never even occured to me.
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Old January 9th, 2009, 08:17 AM   #10 (permalink)
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When Palm's OS is on multiple devices, including non-cellphone gadgets like tablets (GiiNii Movit Mini and Maxx) desk phones (forget the vendor) and netbooks, it'll be a threat to Android.

Unless/until it's on those types of devices, and open source, I wont be interested in it.
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Old January 9th, 2009, 09:35 AM   #11 (permalink)
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Palm can surely resurrect itself, I have no doubt.

Threats to Android or iPhone are a bit much right now. Android and iPhone have carriers and phones in the hands of consumers right now. They have huge leads on the market. iPhone is crushing the competition in many facets.

Not sure what market the Palm is aiming for but they lost most corporate support in favor of Blackberry, and consumers have the aforementioned.

My quick take is better late than never, but Palm needs to deliver the handset before a true judgement can be made.

Interesting to note that Android's OS possibly due to "free and Open source" is being ported and considered for netbooks. History has shown only Palm tried to move their OS from a small screen to larger one. Windows and Apple never tried that move. Just an interesting side note.
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Old January 9th, 2009, 02:45 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Palm can surely resurrect itself, I have no doubt.

Threats to Android or iPhone are a bit much right now. Android and iPhone have carriers and phones in the hands of consumers right now. They have huge leads on the market. iPhone is crushing the competition in many facets.

Not sure what market the Palm is aiming for but they lost most corporate support in favor of Blackberry, and consumers have the aforementioned.
...
netbooks.
if you're interested it's up on their website already. Check the gallery for some nice pics.

http://www.palm.com/us/products/phones/pre/index.html

from what i hear it will be released on Sprint. no price final but i don't think it will be under $200 which could be a major downside from the Palm perspective and plus for other phone makers.

You can anticipate that this will be on all Palm products as well so they are likely to have the OS on multiple carriers eventually.

interesting note on netbooks. i was watching a tech analyst on cnbc and they were saying that netbooks aren't selling well relative to the rest of consumer products. Me personally i don't care about netbooks.
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Old January 9th, 2009, 08:04 PM   #13 (permalink)
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if you're interested it's up on their website already. Check the gallery for some nice pics.

http://www.palm.com/us/products/phones/pre/index.html

from what i hear it will be released on Sprint. no price final but i don't think it will be under $200 which could be a major downside from the Palm perspective and plus for other phone makers.

You can anticipate that this will be on all Palm products as well so they are likely to have the OS on multiple carriers eventually.

interesting note on netbooks. i was watching a tech analyst on cnbc and they were saying that netbooks aren't selling well relative to the rest of consumer products. Me personally i don't care about netbooks.

There is a huge reason why netbooks don't sell well and everyone seems to over look it... if you have a desktop and you have a smart phone why bother spending money on a larger smartphone without the phone part.... Seriously why would any G1, Iphone, Blackberry, etc... users spend money on something they already have in their pocket?
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Old January 9th, 2009, 08:48 PM   #14 (permalink)
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just to tack on to your point. I read an article about netbooks and the guy said it had not really caught on in the states but was more popular overseas. So maybe part of it is just the nature of the U.S. market but it's doing well somewhere else. Another thing is you have to think that as video and hd video becomes as common digitally as say, mp3 are (and digital music generally) people will may still want computers that have the power netbooks may not provide.
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Old January 10th, 2009, 02:38 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Here's a couple reasons why I'm not worried about Palm fighting with Android:

As some people mentioned, Android has a lot more potential than phones. Netbooks, tablets, GPS, Set top Boxes, hell, they could end up making android toasters.

Palm is closed. Android is open. People do go buying Android phones because it is open source. The reason some above posters do not have that experience is because most of the time people don't realize that they're doing that. They see android cheaper than iphone or palm (cheaper because its open source). They will see more apps available on android than on iphone or palm (more because its open and w/o approval process). Stuff like that.

Android is an operating system, not a handset. The Palm Pre will compete with the G1, sure, but Palm will mostly be competing with Apple and RIM here. Nobody else can make an iphone, a palm, or a blackberry, so they'll make an android phone (unless they make winmo, which will happen less and less)

Google. Palm makes money only when people buy palm handsets. Google makes money when people buy Palm handsets, or iphones, or blackberries, or android phones, because Google makes money when people go online. Whatever smartphone you buy, Google profits, and that helps android.


Here's a couple reasons I'm glad Palm got a slice of awesome:

Competes with iphone. One, I don't like apple. Two, keeps apple from becoming so overwhelmingly popular that its hard for anyone to compete. By maintaining competition, it makes it easier for others to compete.

Gives others a kick in the pants. Many people thought the G1 was ugly. It wasn't overly pretty because it didn't have to be. iphones are pretty, but they're expensive and only on AT&T and locked down solid by apple. The rest of the G1's competition wasn't that pretty, so it didn't have to be to get sold. Now there are other pretty phones. HTC and Samsung and everyone will need to get their pretty on to compete.
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Old January 10th, 2009, 09:55 PM   #16 (permalink)
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Here's a couple reasons why I'm not worried about Palm fighting with Android:

As some people mentioned, Android has a lot more potential than phones. Netbooks, tablets, GPS, Set top Boxes, hell, they could end up making android toasters.

Palm is closed. Android is open. People do go buying Android phones because it is open source. The reason some above posters do not have that experience is because most of the time people don't realize that they're doing that. They see android cheaper than iphone or palm (cheaper because its open source). They will see more apps available on android than on iphone or palm (more because its open and w/o approval process). Stuff like that.

Android is an operating system, not a handset. The Palm Pre will compete with the G1, sure, but Palm will mostly be competing with Apple and RIM here. Nobody else can make an iphone, a palm, or a blackberry, so they'll make an android phone (unless they make winmo, which will happen less and less)

Google. Palm makes money only when people buy palm handsets. Google makes money when people buy Palm handsets, or iphones, or blackberries, or android phones, because Google makes money when people go online. Whatever smartphone you buy, Google profits, and that helps android.


Here's a couple reasons I'm glad Palm got a slice of awesome:

Competes with iphone. One, I don't like apple. Two, keeps apple from becoming so overwhelmingly popular that its hard for anyone to compete. By maintaining competition, it makes it easier for others to compete.

Gives others a kick in the pants. Many people thought the G1 was ugly. It wasn't overly pretty because it didn't have to be. iphones are pretty, but they're expensive and only on AT&T and locked down solid by apple. The rest of the G1's competition wasn't that pretty, so it didn't have to be to get sold. Now there are other pretty phones. HTC and Samsung and everyone will need to get their pretty on to compete.
not only that but it is possible that android being open source that it will be able to run other smart phone apps... Take into consideration that since the advent of Linux being used in some form on smart phones more and more smart phones are adapting to it...case in point PALM! now running on linux.... if they are all linux based and all closed source except for android eventually we will be able to run other apps from other smart phones making it untouchable....
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Old January 11th, 2009, 09:56 AM   #17 (permalink)
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There is a huge reason why netbooks don't sell well and everyone seems to over look it... if you have a desktop and you have a smart phone why bother spending money on a larger smartphone without the phone part.... Seriously why would any G1, Iphone, Blackberry, etc... users spend money on something they already have in their pocket?
As someone who would consider a netbook, and is a G1 owner I'll tell you why - keyboard and screen size. It all comes down to comfort.

The screen on the G1 is a great size for a smartphone, but not big enough to be a useful replacement for a PC/Laptop. If you fit an entire webpage on the screen, top to bottom, left to right, you can't read anything. To make it readable you have to zoom in, which means more scrolling. It means more work. It's like using a papertowel roll to look at your screen, you loose all peripheral vision, and thus it feels cramped, like you're missing something.
A netbook is much more desirable. I type 60 words a minute, and you can't do that with a G1 typing with your thumbs -- there's a new medical condition, similar to carpal tunnel, but they're calling it "Blackberry Thumb" -- people are getting repetative stress injuries from using their thumbs to type.
http://www.wired.com/science/discoveries/news/2005/10/69294

Simply put, trying to use a G1, Treo, Palm, iPhone as a replacement for a pc is just ASKING for an injury, and not a fun one. Netbooks bridge the gap between smartphone and PC/Laptop. That may not be a reality some people are willing to believe, but it will become more and more apparent the more people are trying to use their smartphone as a laptop.


One thing I wonder if anyone has considered. Part of the achillies heal of WinMo is that it was created as a PDA, the software wasn't built for Data and phonecalls -- those were additions, and WinMo doesn' do so well because at it's core it's an organizer, not a phone, not a smartphone, and not a true PC replacement. Does/will Palm have the same handicap?
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Old January 11th, 2009, 02:23 PM   #18 (permalink)
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I think the new PalmOS (webOs) and hardware looks damn nice. The OS reacts very nicely to finger touch, and it really smooth. The one thing that will make or break it is the App Store. Although, all the video I have seen on it only showcase how the interface reacts... I want to see the calendar, email, messaging, and so forth. The key elements, please

What I really want to see is a full screen touch android phone. So far Lenovo is releassing one in China, but I would like some options for america. .. and now that there is going to be an on-screen KB the chance to get this done by other OEMs is ripe.
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Old January 12th, 2009, 09:43 AM   #19 (permalink)
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This type of article does not bode well for right now -

http://i.gizmodo.com/5126870/in-a-nutshell-palm-pre-vs-iphone-vs-g1

I don't mind the "idea" of the article, but one of the first comments is how the G1 was barely mentioned (only 2 times) and could have easily tied a few times. It's a little dangerous when they compare a phone not out, a phone with gigantic market share and and an OS. Not really apples to apples, but we will certainly see more of these types of comparisons soon.
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Old January 12th, 2009, 10:10 AM   #20 (permalink)
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This type of article does not bode well for right now -

http://i.gizmodo.com/5126870/in-a-nutshell-palm-pre-vs-iphone-vs-g1
I had a professor who once compared computer journalism to gossip columns. Articles like that one do a great job of illustrating his point.
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Old January 12th, 2009, 10:32 AM   #21 (permalink)
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I had a professor who once compared computer journalism to gossip columns. Articles like that one do a great job of illustrating his point.
HA!

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Old January 12th, 2009, 11:27 AM   #22 (permalink)
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As someone who would consider a netbook, and is a G1 owner I'll tell you why
Thanks, punkzanyj ... if this forum had a "thanks" button/feature, I'd have just clicked that.


The idea that netbooks are useless because you don't need a netbook if you have a desktop and a smartphone is pretty silly. For one, that same argument applies to laptops, and laptops are just fine as a market segment. And that right there tells you what a netbook's competition is: not smartphones and desktops, but laptops and UMPCs.

Laptops have evolved into replacements for low-end desktops. It used to be that people routinely had both, because a laptop wasn't up to the task of fully replacing a desktop. Around 2000, that stopped being the case. Unless you're doing high end engineering/rendering/cad work, or high end gaming, a good laptop can serve as your only computer. So, what happened to the old "shuttle computer" concept of the laptop? A light device for taking notes, doing light tasks while mobile, but not something you'd use as a desktop replacement?

That's pretty much the niche of the netbook. You might say "what about smartphones and MIDs". And I'd say: they're too feature limited, and in a lot of cases, they don't truly offer the full experience of a laptop or desktop. Ever try to add a tag in Google Reader, on your phone? Or add/edit a Gmail filter? I have yet to see a smartphone that can do those (not even the G1; I'm constantly having to mark Reader articles "keep unread" so that I can deal with them when I get back to my UMPC or desktop ... or leave an email unread so that I can "send as" one of my other email addresses) (as far as I know, no matter how much the newer smartphones say they give you the full/real web, they're lying, they just give you a better web experience that previous phones). Ever try to take an hours worth of meeting/lecture notes on your G1, Nokia E61i, Nokia N810, iPhone, or Blackberry? I've done it on an N810, but I had to use an external keyboard... and even then, it was rather limited. (I know, the N810 isn't a smartphone, it's a MID, but smartphone interfaces are even less functional than the N810's, so if you can't do it on an N810, you definitely can't do iton a smartphone). The G1 can do very light weight notes, but anything more is just "too much" ... and syncing those notes back to somewhere useful is a pain in the butt.

With a netbook, with some adjustment, you can touch type on it. You can, in most cases, run desktop apps on it for things like note-taking, and you get the real web on it. You can hook it up to a KVM switch to use it like a light desktop. You can hook it up to a standard projector to make presentations. There are lots of sync options for getting your notes and such (anything the vendor didn't directly support) back up to your desktop.

The idea that a smartphone displaces a netbook is absolutely silly. The real competition for netbooks is laptops and UMPC's. Both laptops and UMPCs tend to be MUCH more expensive than a netbook ($1200+ for a laptop or UMPC, $300-$900 for a netbook). And laptops are HUGE compared to a netbook.

At first, I wasn't interested in a netbook at all. It was just "a tiny laptop". And "too big" compared to my N810. But over time I realized that instead of the EeePC being too big, the N810 was really "too small". The three things my N810 had that a good smartphone didn't were "800x600 4.8inch display", "real SSH+VNC", and "real web browser". Everything else was effectively a preference for one pocketable vs another. But over time, I found that it's small display/keyboard and lack of connectivity were too annoying. I didn't want to carry one tiny connected and limited use device (phone), and a second tiny device that was useful and non-connected, and then have to add a third device that was fully useful and merely small as opposed to tiny.

So then I started to evaluate UMPCs and netbooks. Laptops are just too big (my gadget bag is big enough for a Samsung Q1 Ultra, or possibly and 8.9" netbook -- anything I buy will have to fit into that bag; it's a Maxpedition Colossus if anyone wants to look it up). I don't want to carry a big ol' laptop bag, or laptop backpack/etc. I want something small that I just sling over my back and barely notice. But it has to fit into my mobile device strategy:

  1. One pocketable device, which is always* connected, sync'ed for calendar/contacts/etc., and usable for quick and dirty work like checking web monitors for my servers, maybe making quick web console changes, and maybe text console changes via an SSH program. Ideally, it would have SSH+VNC support for GUI console access, and do tethering to support my next item. It must also be a phone of some sort (I could tolerate a VOIP-only device, if the quality is high enough ... but I have yet to use a VOIP service that didn't suffer from too many distortions), and it must have a physical keyboard (not going to debate it; virtual keyboards are just not accept able to me). (* always meaning "wherever there is a signal"; I don't expect it to be connected when I'm out in the high desert, or in a remote mountain valley)
  2. One medium size device, which can run real apps (fully featured web browser, fully featured Office apps, fully featured IM apps, fully SSH+VNC), with touch typing for comfortable typing at full speed. It has to be small enough to fit in my gadget bag, light enough that I don't notice carrying it in my gadget bag, and it has to have some form of internet connectivity (Idealy, internal PCI-Express-Mini card slot for native 3G/4G access; tethering through my phone is an acceptable alternative; an external data card is barely acceptable). It also has to be small enough for me to comfortably use it just in my two hands (not even on my lap), such as when I'm on a train or on the express bus that connects San Jose (where I live) and Santa Cruz (where I work). Last, it has to be able to display itself on a regular monitor some how (having a VNC server that I can somehow securely display on my desktop's monitor is fine).
  3. Any other device I carry must be able to fit in my gadget bag, and not need me to directly interact with it (except maybe to turn it on and off, and charging it). So, for example, if the lack of tethering on my G1 forces me to get a Cradlepoint router, then that's fine, because I can leave it in the bottom of my bag and not care about it. Whereas separating the first device into a MID and a dumbphone isn't acceptable because it means I'd have to touch both devices in order to get things done. Other devices that could fit into this category include the elusive, often demo'ed, but never released, bluetooth hard drives.
  4. Oh, and, the OS I use for the pocketable and netbook/UMPC must be open source. These days that's pretty much going to eliminate anyone othr than Symbian and Android on the phone, and Android, Linux, *BSD on the netbook/UMPC. If Android fixes a few things (full Gmail features, full Google Reader features, full Google Docs features, SSH+VNC, more IM features, SyncML client for Calendar) it would be ideal across the board. Otherwise, I'll probably end up with some Ubuntu version on the netbook/UMPC.


My ideal would be:
Pocketable: A slightly better Android phone ... something the shape of the AT&T Quickfire, with a tilt screen, running Android, with tethering and SSH+VNC support.

netbook/UMPC:A convertible-tablet netbook running Ubuntu of some sort. I'd really love Ubuntu-UMPC on the Fujitsu Lifebook U820 ... if Ubuntu-UMPC was a little better polished, and the U820 had an internal PCI-Express-Mini slot for an optional 3G card. I'm really looking forward to the convertible tablet version of the Classmate 2go netbook, and the EeePC T91, once I find out what their linux versions wil be.

What I'm using right now:
Pocketable: The G1. It would be nice if I could get the VNC Viewer to do password authentication while tunneled through SSH/ConnectBot (it says it supports it now, but I haven't been able to get it to work), and if it did tethering (that issue might actually get me to switch back to my E61i for my pocketable).

netbook/UMPC: Samsung Q1 Ultra running Ubuntu-UMPC. It has some rough edges, and limited battery life (2.25 hours). And its built in thumb keyboard has some shortcomings. Using this for a few months has pretty much shifted me towards wanting a convertible-tablet netbook (I like the touch screen tablet ability, but there are cases where I definitely want/need a bigger keyboard than a thumb keyboard; most UMPCs have a thumb keyboard instead of a real keyboard). And, overall, the UMPC category is priced higher than what options it gives you over the cheaper netbook category. This, I'm gravitating more toward the netbook afterall.

A second idea, if Android gets those features fixed, would be a Redfly for Android device. Especially if they had a convertible-tablet version of their "netbook" like device. But this option heavily depends upon Android fixing those 6 issues.


But, to get back to the original point: no, netbooks aren't the thing displaced by a smartphone nor desktop. MIDs are displaced by smartphones, IMO. Or, they will be as the smartphone continues to evolve (once the have real browsers, for example). The three current market segments I see are:

  • pocketables: smartphones and MIDs (or "MID-like", as the Nokia tablets are technically not true MIDs, as the term was defined by Intel... because they don't have Intel processors).
  • Netbooks and UMPCs: there are various ways to delineate these, but in my mind UMPCs (like the OQO, Sony UX, Samsung Q1/Q1 Ultra) are more expensive, and tend to be tablet oriented, with or without a physical thumb keyboard. Netbooks tend to be cheaper and mini-laptops (with or without a convertible-tablet format).
  • Laptops and Desktops: these days, laptops are really like "all one one" desktops... except they can be folded up and taken with you. The differences are obscure, unless you really need a high end desktop for either gaming or heavy computing work.


If you need something bigger than a pocketable, but lighter/smaller than a desktop or laptop, then the netbook is not a lost category. And a smartphone will not satisfy your needs there. In that case, a netbook's competition will be an UMPC, and your main decision will be "do I need to go as big/expensive as a laptop, or can I get away with something smaller?"
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Old January 12th, 2009, 11:34 AM   #23 (permalink)
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A second idea, if Android gets those features fixed, would be a Redfly for Android device. Especially if they had a convertible-tablet version of their "netbook" like device. But this option heavily depends upon Android fixing those 6 issues.
And before anyone suggests that this means you don't need a netbook:

1) It shows that even Android has a few software shortcomings that aren't present in the OS's used in the two larger categories, because it would only be acceptable if Android fixes those shortcomings.
2) It shows that even if the software problems were addressed, you still need the larger interface (display and keyboard, options for external display and keyboard, etc.).
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Old January 12th, 2009, 12:22 PM   #24 (permalink)
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If this phone ever arrives to Tmobile, im gonna grab one for sure. I simply love the look and responsiveness of the OS. It looks like a solid product for sure.
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Old January 12th, 2009, 07:02 PM   #25 (permalink)
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If this phone ever arrives to Tmobile, im gonna grab one for sure. I simply love the look and responsiveness of the OS. It looks like a solid product for sure.
Agreed but I am not going to let go of the G1 reason being that they are both running with the same Linux kernel this being said it's only a few tweaks away from running Palm apps on the G1 or future TMO Android phones... I just don't think most people are even taking into consideration that most phone dev are going with some form of Linux and it will continue to increase in that direction and the only open source so far is Android... this is going to be huge for Android......
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Old January 13th, 2009, 10:11 AM   #26 (permalink)
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here's something else to notice. Shares of Palm jumped 34% even though the the dow was down. Clearly some investors think it's a winner too. Google by the way was up only .99%

Is Android in danger? I don't see any android phones on the way in the states. The interface though, nice is not slick, and the menus lack the sheen or gloss you see in OS's like Leapord or say Vista or even on the ipod, that i think wow people. It's a bit utilitarian.

What do you think? is this a true competitor to the ipod? Is it going to leapfrog Android in the mobile OS wars?

Does google need to take immediate steps to either update the UI or release a way to skin the UI, or both?
Ha ... funny. A $6 stock jumped 34%, wow!

Googles market cap is more than 125 times palm. That's 700 million against 99 billion. Is Android in trouble ... well Google has 20 some billion in cash alone that says they can do whatever it takes to move to the top with the stroke of a pen. But just like 1/2 the Internet they now control, they won't just take it via greed ... they know how to circle and then attack and this is why I never owned a single combination smart phone until I bought a G1. Google knows what they are doing and Palm is too little too late in what is now a VERY competitive smart phone market. They should have at least let this puppy fly before Blackberry released the storm. I think predict Blackberry to become the Palm OS of the 90's ... went to the top and spiral down. Palm will take over Microsoft Mobile. Google and Iphone stay on top until Steve Jobs dies, then Google takes it home for the kill.

You heard it here first!
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Old January 13th, 2009, 10:50 AM   #27 (permalink)
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Ha ... funny. A $6 stock jumped 34%, wow!

Googles market cap is more than 125 times palm. That's 700 million against 99 billion. Is Android in trouble ... well Google has 20 some billion in cash alone that says they can do whatever it takes to move to the top with the stroke of a pen. But just like 1/2 the Internet they now control, they won't just take it via greed ... they know how to circle and then attack and this is why I never owned a single combination smart phone until I bought a G1. Google knows what they are doing and Palm is too little too late in what is now a VERY competitive smart phone market. They should have at least let this puppy fly before Blackberry released the storm. I think predict Blackberry to become the Palm OS of the 90's ... went to the top and spiral down. Palm will take over Microsoft Mobile. Google and Iphone stay on top until Steve Jobs dies, then Google takes it home for the kill.

You heard it here first!
You make a lot of sense. I can see it that way. I often wondered why Microsoft didn't buy RIM. RIM does have one thing going for it, it is the Microsoft Exchange/Office/Windows of the business world. iPhones are mostly consumer devices. As the landscape shifts it will take some effort for Google to unseat RIM. Eroding what microsoft has built is not an easy task.
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Old January 13th, 2009, 11:32 AM   #28 (permalink)
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If it's true that apps for the pre have to be written in Javascript, that's just hilariously stupid. Javascript and HTML? Are you freakin' kidding me?
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Old January 13th, 2009, 11:37 AM   #29 (permalink)
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Palm introduced the Pre today at CES and i must say, it looks slicker and sexier then Android. The icons are modern and have a gloss and the hardware is a bit sexier then the G1.
I don't care about looking slicker, sexier, or glossier. I care about usable, useful, and open source. Android and Symbian do just fine on all three fronts. Apple and Palm seem to be lacking on the third. I can't really comment on WinMo.

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Is Android in danger?
No.

Quote:
I don't see any android phones on the way in the states.
Look here. The last 5 phones shown (3 version of the Saphire, the Hero, and the Memphis) are all Android phones. Unfortunately, the Memphis only has a 4 row keyboard, instead of 5 rows (like the G1 and all of the other side-slide qwerty phones on that page).

Quote:
The interface though, nice is not slick, and the menus lack the sheen or gloss you see in OS's like Leapord or say Vista or even on the ipod, that i think wow people. It's a bit utilitarian.
Utilitarian == good, as long as it's also usable and useful.

Slick/gloss/sheen are for fashionistas and fanboys. If it's slick/glossy/sheeny/sexy ... but lacks usefulness, then who gives a crap? And if it has slick/sexy/glossy/sheeny and usefulness, but lacks usability, again, who gives a crap?

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Is it going to leapfrog Android in the mobile OS wars?
... who cares? This isn't a popularity contest.

What matters is: at what threshold of various factors will developers stray from Android, and at what threshold of various factors will Google and/or device makers lose interest in Android. Popularity is only one of those factors.

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Does google need to take immediate steps to either update the UI or release a way to skin the UI, or both?
No.
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Old January 13th, 2009, 11:40 AM   #30 (permalink)
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If it's true that apps for the pre have to be written in Javascript, that's just hilariously stupid. Javascript and HTML? Are you freakin' kidding me?
Yeah, I've been trying to figure out how that's different from the pre-SDK version of the iPhone. Unless the Pre can store those javascript/html pages locally. But still, it gives you all of the application advantages of iPhone v1. That's good, but it's certainly not great.
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Old January 13th, 2009, 02:02 PM   #31 (permalink)
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Yeah, I've been trying to figure out how that's different from the pre-SDK version of the iPhone. Unless the Pre can store those javascript/html pages locally. But still, it gives you all of the application advantages of iPhone v1. That's good, but it's certainly not great.
My understanding is the WebOS is very attractive for these reasons....

...apps like Google Maps are built in the OS's native language. So imagine many more apps as powerful as Google Maps, with DHTML, Javascript. There are many web apps already. These with a bit of Gears like work can run easily and natively on Web OS.

...devs abound who know how to build DHTML and Javascript apps. Most application engineers have had to integrate web os components into their code for desktop apps for a long time. Now they just go native.

...the web was moving in a flash,air, silverlight direction about 4 years ago, and then Google showed with a little effort how easy it would be to make quality apps in standard technology (javascript, et al.) so is it any wonder that some company decided to run their OS on that platform?

So you get many native apps with minor tweaks that will be able to launch when the Pre launches. You get many devs who are interested in mobile dev but didn't know Java (Android) or OSX (iPhone) who can now code easily for your platform.

Palm made a shrewd move.
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Old January 13th, 2009, 02:20 PM   #32 (permalink)
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My understanding is the WebOS is very attractive for these reasons....

...apps like Google Maps are built in the OS's native language. So imagine many more apps as powerful as Google Maps, with DHTML, Javascript. There are many web apps already. These with a bit of Gears like work can run easily and natively on Web OS.

...devs abound who know how to build DHTML and Javascript apps. Most application engineers have had to integrate web os components into their code for desktop apps for a long time. Now they just go native.

...the web was moving in a flash,air, silverlight direction about 4 years ago, and then Google showed with a little effort how easy it would be to make quality apps in standard technology (javascript, et al.) so is it any wonder that some company decided to run their OS on that platform?

So you get many native apps with minor tweaks that will be able to launch when the Pre launches. You get many devs who are interested in mobile dev but didn't know Java (Android) or OSX (iPhone) who can now code easily for your platform.

Palm made a shrewd move.
So, what that says to me is:

The Pre can do what Android and the iPhone can do in their browsers (javascript/HTML/etc.), but it can't do what Android and the iPhone can do in their SDKs (ie. java and/or natively compiled programs).

I'm not convinced that the Pre will be better at running Google-like apps than Google's own OS. It might be better at wrapping them up in a bow, but actually delivering them? doubt it.

And, yet, that seems to be all the Pre is about.
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Old January 13th, 2009, 03:29 PM   #33 (permalink)
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You make a lot of sense. I can see it that way. I often wondered why Microsoft didn't buy RIM. RIM does have one thing going for it, it is the Microsoft Exchange/Office/Windows of the business world. iPhones are mostly consumer devices. As the landscape shifts it will take some effort for Google to unseat RIM. Eroding what microsoft has built is not an easy task.
Cloud technology is going to outseat everyone, there is no way to avoid it now, it's already begun and then some. Google already has push technology in Gmail, whereas Microsoft is still working on their boxed versions of software. Google will be the first to fully embrace the business and consumer sectors. Whereas the way RIM went about it is now going to be their downfall. And most companies will never forget the amount of money Microsoft forced them to pay ... they will never forget ... ever. Google has this one, just like the dominate any market they touch.
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Old January 13th, 2009, 04:02 PM   #34 (permalink)
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Cloud technology is going to outseat everyone, there is no way to avoid it now, it's already begun and then some. Google already has push technology in Gmail, whereas Microsoft is still working on their boxed versions of software. Google will be the first to fully embrace the business and consumer sectors. Whereas the way RIM went about it is now going to be their downfall. And most companies will never forget the amount of money Microsoft forced them to pay ... they will never forget ... ever. Google has this one, just like the dominate any market they touch.
Not to hijack this thread, which we are....Microsoft was the leader in their day and Google is the leader in their day. But it would be unwise for any investor, IT person, or citizen to get very comfortable with a specific technology, cause that is when things are ripe for upheaval.

I do agree with your thoughts on cloud computing, RIM and Microsoft's profits.
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Old January 13th, 2009, 04:03 PM   #35 (permalink)
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So, what that says to me is:

The Pre can do what Android and the iPhone can do in their browsers (javascript/HTML/etc.), but it can't do what Android and the iPhone can do in their SDKs (ie. java and/or natively compiled programs).

I'm not convinced that the Pre will be better at running Google-like apps than Google's own OS. It might be better at wrapping them up in a bow, but actually delivering them? doubt it.

And, yet, that seems to be all the Pre is about.
It would seem that the Pre can do what others can do easily, sure. But since none of us have seen the full software, as even Engadget and the like didn't a get a true hands on I am willing to wait to predict their fall from grace "PRE" launch. I will agree their name is horrid and I like the little green mascot.
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Old January 14th, 2009, 07:43 AM   #36 (permalink)
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The video was lame and bias. It all had to do with the order you had put the tests in that won. I mean come on ... G1 didn't even make it to the keyboard challange and it's ACES over all of them combined. That keyboard is the only thing keeping blackberry in the game and now the storm is killing them now that it's gone.

Remember folks this is Google's first attempt at a smart phone relationship. Iphone aside ... how long has Microsoft, Blackberry and Palm been at it. Just imagine what the G2 - G3 brings us. I for one know it's going to be complete dominance.
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Old January 14th, 2009, 08:21 AM   #37 (permalink)
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I for one know it's going to be complete dominance.
Oh, good lord, I certainly hope not. That would suck azz.


As for competing with "iPhone, Palm, Windows Mobile" etc...


Those comparisons are due to the delusions of the masses. The same delusions that make them ooh and aah, and jump up and down about how much better piece-of-crap-car-from-ford is vs piece-of-crap-car-from-gm, or visa versa. They've got a pet platform (ford or gm ... or mopar, or whatever), and they just want to keep up with the Jonses, or one-up the Jonses. So as long as their drug-dealer (ford, gm, dodge, etc.) keeps giving them the same crap over again, only slightly better with a slightly different shine on it ... they ooh and aah. Meanwhile, their drug-dealer hasn't done anything interesting nor truly evolutionary (much less revolutionary) in decades.

What matters is not iPhone vs G1. What matters is:

  • For you, as a consumer, does the G1, or the Android platform, with its application ecosystem, meet your needs and goals as a personal device?
  • For developers, does the SDK give them the ability to develop the apps they want to deliver, and does the app-ecosystem and user base make the platform an attractive target?
  • For device makers and Google, is the combination of the above healthy enough for them to meet their goals (device makers: selling devices; Google: ... "changing the world", or whatever their real goal is with Android), such that they keep delivering new hardware and/or android versions?


As Apple showed between 13 and 5 years ago, you don't have to do this by aiming for external goals (like competing with the Jonses named Microsoft and Dell). They looked at "who is our niche? and what do we have to do to retain a healthy market"? They didn't say "we have to make a Windows killer!" (in fact, they said exactly the opposite: Jobs came out and said "the war for the desktop is over, and Microsoft won", and basically meant 'get over it, forget about them, now lets get back to making a better Macintosh'). They said "we have to make our OS better than it was, but still focused on what we designed it to, and focused on what will keep our target market interested in it".

Further, when you look at the products from the 90's that said "We're going to make a Windows killer!" (OS/2, Be, etc.) ... not one of them survived. They had an artificial goal that had them focused externally on keeping up with someone else, instead of focused internally on being their own platform, and refining/evolving that "own platorm" goal. The "we need a (that platform) killer" model was shown to be a massive failure.

Saying "we need to have an iPhone killer!" or "we need to compete with Blackberry" is BS. It's a false goal. What we need is for Android to stick to its actual visions and designs, and refine those consistently and accurately, such that it retains healthy evolution and a healthy (application and device) ecosystem. None of that requires looking over our shoulders at what kinds of pretty candy is on the iPhone.

So, anytime someone says "we need an iPhone killer", or something equally stupid, it tells me that they really don't understand what it takes for a platform to be successful. It tells me that really, they're just jealous of that other platform in some degree (or jealous of the people who are using it), and don't really care about their own platform's health and viability.



So... if someone insists that Android needs "multi-touch", but they can't tell me a reason that doesn't involve the iPhone ... then I dismiss them as not really having a good idea. They're just trying to keep up with the Jonses. They're not really thinking about what will keep Android healthy and alive, and focused on its internal goals and targets.

If someone insists that Android needs "be like a Blackberry or business users wont take Android seriously", again, I dismiss them. They're just trying to keep up with the Jonses. They're not really thinking about what will keep Android healthy and alive, and focused on its internal goals and targets.

If you want to get my attention, tell me what about that specific feature will specifically enrich Android itself. What will it specifically let us do, that we don't do now, and that we NEED to do? How much better is it REALLY (what measures of usability are shown to be enhanced, what behaviors/results does it give us that are consistent with the Android internal goals and targets)? And, most importantly, how does it fit into the vision of what Android is, and should be?
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Old January 15th, 2009, 07:21 AM   #38 (permalink)
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The iPhone was highly sucessfull bcos it had lots of followers outside the US. Reason?? it was a gsm phone.

Using sprint and CDMA will not help palm. Hopefully they use their business model and make gms (unlocked) phones for europe.

less than .0001% of people buy phones bcos they are open source (geeks).
If you tell my wife about open source, she will ask where is the BBQ.

People buy phones bcos of the hype, usefullness, functions and if it complements their sexiness... I must say i lost cool points going from iPhone to the G1.

The Pre is a very good looking phone. I like what they did. Make it look like the iPhone and add more. Why hide the facts??
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Old January 15th, 2009, 02:00 PM   #39 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnkzin View Post
I don't care about looking slicker, sexier, or glossier.


Look here.


Utilitarian == good,

Slick/gloss/sheen are for fashionistas and fanboys.

... who cares? This isn't a popularity contest.
You may not care but the the most successful cell phones are the ones aimed at the masses not at people like you. And those want glossy, sexy not a brick that looks utilitarian. Fashionistas? Fanboys? Sorry. Image matters. It's why people where a suit to interviews and dress nice on dates. You can ignore it but your in the overwhelming minority when it comes to all the people that buy a cell phone. The average consumer doesn't walk into the Verizon store and ask about topics like if a given cellphone's OS is built on the Linux Kernal or what the App store's SDK is. And this is about business and taking some marketshare. It is a popularity contest.

I did see those htc rumors but they where posted well after i started this thread. Regardless, at this point they are still only rumors on a blog.
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Old January 15th, 2009, 02:35 PM   #40 (permalink)
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Yes. That's why Nokia's function over fashion designed phones do so poorly, world wide.
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