In theory yes, the carriers and manufacturers have a a general timeline they are shooting for, however, to say that the FCC is "just a formality" is total BS. With so many radios on one device, going through the testing and certification is by far no simple feat, and this would be particularly difficult for the Photon because not only do they have to test emmisions on CDMA/EVDO and Wimax (plus bluetooth and wifi) like most of Sprint's smartphones, but also for GSM and WCDMA. Sprint and HTC wanted to release the EVO 3D at the beginning of June (one year past the original EVO) but because they couldn't get the device past certification, they had to postpone release by 3 weeks so even the best laid plans can't get past the "formality" of the FCC and that's why you're not seeing a hard release date for the Photon yet. Once it passes I expect you'll see one leak shortly thereafter. That said, assuming it gets certified sometime over the next few weeks, late July to early August sounds reasonable.