Will the Evo 3D SELL OUT?

[Deleted User]

I have asked multiple people before about their EVO's. just the sheer presence of the phone turns heads. It is big, bright, and beautiful.

 

[Meanee]

Don't think it will sell out. EVO was revolutionary when it came out. 3D is more of a (big) step up. There are plenty of 4" or so phones out there.

 

[ArmageddonX]

I honestly think it's going to do very well. It's going to be a hot item simply because of the 3D. However, I don't think it's going to "sell out" & you wont be able to find one anywhere.

What happen with the Evo 4G last year I think was the perfect storm of technology leaping forward, no viable 4G competition, and poor supply for the demand it required. I just don't see what happen last year repeating this year... but I could be wrong.

 

[Bnice]

I think the phone will do good but not because it has 3D,the overall specs of the phone is a beast. Some nice commercials would be nice before launching the phone.

 

[Halfbaked]

I think Sprint does things perfectly marketing wise. No need to have people stampeding into stores on launch day causing havoc and long lines in the hot sun. Sprint stores can only hold so many people and no need to have people passing out in the sun or fighting in line. Sprint is all about using a steady pace to win a race with their phones. Opposed to Apple who has everyone line up on one single day for a phone.

Sprint typically will launch commercials after a phone releases and I'm sure that's because dates for a phone launch can change at the last minute.

Remember people on this forum was complaining last week about Sprint and marketing. Since there is a launch date we don't see complaints about people not getting the 3VO and going with the Nexus or Samsung Galaxy ll.

 

[jdsingle]

Not sure why anyone would think it would be a good idea for Sprint to "sell out" of their stock of 3VD. Maybe, and that is a big maybe, the marketing people think it is great to say their phone sold out. But, you can't earn money on something you do not have. Do you think HTC wants customers who are looking to upgrade to be okay that the 3VD is sold out? You don't think HTC cares whether a customer chooses their phone or a Samsung?

People are impatient with phones. Want proof? Look at how many people on here have complained about the launch date and lack of information. If you were told you had to wait another month or two before they'd be back in stock, are you seriously going to hold out just for this phone? What if something new comes along within that month window and will be out in another month? If people are willing to wait (such as myself) then HTC could lose customers.

It is not, and let me say this 3 more times, it is not, it is not, it is not, in Sprint's best interest to run out of stock on these phones. It will affect HTC more than it will affect Sprint because customers with upgrades can just move to another Sprint phone. However, if I find out the 3VD is not in stock when I go to buy it. I'll be sticking it out with big red for a while longer.

 

[novox77]

And along jdsingle's points, I would argue that the Evo 4G "sell-out" was not a great success, especially when it had potential to sell MUCH MORE. But HTC ran out of stock, and by the time they could catch up with production, the critical sales window for the Evo had passed.

So, if the point of this thread is to compare whether Evo 3D will outperform Evo 4G in sales, then we don't really care about "selling out" since that only indicates a failure to meet demand.

To simplify this: let's say I set up a lemonade stand but only had one cup for sale. And it sells. I'm now "sold out." How does that start to prove my lemonade stand was successful?

And if the following year, I sell 2 cups and have 1 left over, how do I compare that to last year's performance? Sure I sold more this year, but maybe if I had made more last year, this year's sales would look crummy in comparison.

I'm only curious to see if this phone sells well against the other phones offered THIS year. We have a lot more choices, and therefore a strong turnout for E3D will be more meaningful this year compared to last year's turnout for E4G.

 

[yourfriendmat]

To simplify this: let's say I set up a lemonade stand but only had one cup for sale. And it sells. I'm now "sold out." How does that start to prove my lemonade stand was successful?

And if the following year, I sell 2 cups and have 1 left over, how do I compare that to last year's performance? Sure I sold more this year, but maybe if I had made more last year, this year's sales would look crummy in comparison.

I'm only curious to see if this phone sells well against the other phones offered THIS year. We have a lot more choices, and therefore a strong turnout for E3D will be more meaningful this year compared to last year's turnout for E4G.

I also wonder if HTC's opinion of Sprint played a factor in the whole thing. I mean, if I'm a company and making good phones and I see a tiny phone carrier in the US wants my phones, I'd say "Ok sure, I'll make you 20 or so. Go have fun."

So let's say novox tells his dad he wants to sell lemonade. The first time, dad is just gonna give him 10 lemons, some sugar and a jug of water, chuckling inside about the idea of little novy selling lemonade. So he completely sells out and then dad is like "Whoah, good job little buddy!" You can bet, next time dad will be giving novox a lot more lemons.

Moral of the story: It's been said by some Sprint peeps (don't have link, but it was on the Sprint Users forum) that they don't expect to have the same stock issues as last year, so we can assume they have more devices to sell. This is supported by the idea that HTC probably has more faith in Sprint now that they've seen what happened with the Evo 4G.

Now we just need to hope they do the Evo 3D sales right so that HTC can make another super awesome phone (perhaps continuing the Evo line) next year!

 

[novox77]

I'm forever going to associate lemonade with my Evos now....

 

[NeoteriX]

Note that the earthquakes in Japan may result in component supply problems even if HTC manufactures devices in Taiwan or China.

In addition to whatever the popularity of the device is, this may also affect supply.

 

[GaryColeman]

Do you think the first batch of E3Ds will sell out?

If they only produce 100 units, then yes. If they produce 101, then you'll be fine.

There are many other phones out now, or soon to be out, with the same or better performance (excluding the seizure inducting 3D blur screen). The higher performing S II should be out soon, not to mention the quad core phones at the end of the year.

There will be no problem picking one up.

 

[EarlyMon]

If they only produce 100 units, then yes. If they produce 101, then you'll be fine.

There are many other phones out now, or soon to be out, with the same or better performance (excluding the seizure inducting 3D blur screen). The higher performing S II should be out soon, not to mention the quad core phones at the end of the year.

There will be no problem picking one up.

I suspect you're right, but I don't share your skepticism over the raw numbers.

This highly non-scientific poll suggests a preference for the 3vo - [Poll] Sprint Users – Which Phone Will Be Your Next Purchase? | Android News, Apps, Games, Phones, Tablets - Android Police

And the nearly 40,000 hits on the release date thread here just ain't chump change, imo.

 

[Androidalltheway]

It will sell out, I guarantee it, if you think it wont, then clearly you did not buy an evo last year, next to impossible to get, and I imagine the people who bought evos last year who are gold members, will all be buying the evo 3d as their full upgrade

 

[Skullbussa]

Apple didn't announce or release an iPhone for June on AT&T. Those customers contracts are up and they are pissed and whinning about not having a new iPhone like people were crying on this forum about the EVO 3D. Sprint will steal a lot of customers from AT&T for contract reasons and because people on AT&T will love the EVO 3D.

iPhone customers are not cross shopping android devices. (I am, but I'm an exception)

Nobody I know who has an iPhone would consider, even for a second, giving up an Apple device for something from some no-name Chinese company. They want to continue to use a phone they're familiar with and could give half a sh*t about megapixels, snapdragons, 3D, etc.

 

[RedWingsFan]

It will sell out, I guarantee it, if you think it wont, then clearly you did not buy an evo last year, next to impossible to get, and I imagine the people who bought evos last year who are gold members, will all be buying the evo 3d as their full upgrade

Wow...those are some strong assumptions. All people who bought EVOs last year who are gold members are getting EVO 3Ds? Where do you get that info?

Guaranteed to sell out? Where do you get this info. The demand won't be as high based on the fact that other phones that are as good as the EVO 3D are out. There are more options than there was a year ago.

 

[Djblue11]

Wow...those are some strong assumptions. All people who bought EVOs last year who are gold members are getting EVO 3Ds? Where do you get that info?

Guaranteed to sell out? Where do you get this info. The demand won't be as high based on the fact that other phones that are as good as the EVO 3D are out. There are more options than there was a year ago.

You are also making a strong assumption, who are you to say the 3D won't be as high in demand as the Evo. Do you own a time machine of some sort? There are more options, but many are loyal to HTC. Last year many were going on about how the original galaxy S had better hardware and benchmarks than the Evo. The Evo still outsold the epic though because the HTC fan base was bigger and continued to grow with the recommendations Evo owners made to others. Just because there will be other options doesn't mean people will jump ship to them. I myself think that the phones all seem to perform pretty even from what I've seen, but they all have there own pro's and con's so it is what it is and with the advertising and rep put in the Evo branding there would be no reason for it to not have spectacular sells.

 

[yourfriendmat]

iPhone customers are not cross shopping android devices. (I am, but I'm an exception)

Nobody I know who has an iPhone would consider, even for a second, giving up an Apple device for something from some no-name Chinese company. They want to continue to use a phone they're familiar with and could give half a sh*t about megapixels, snapdragons, 3D, etc.

I agree with you mostly. All most iPhone users care about is the number at the end. If it is higher or has more characters, then that's their next phone. This applies to pretty much anyone who was willing to stick with AT&T solely for the iPhone. That being said, 2 of the 3 people I know that own iPhones are trading them for android phones.

As far as "Will it sell out?", I think a lot of people still have their Pre, and they are looking for something to replace it. I also think a lot of people will be upgrading from the Evo (I am). People might be trying to leave T Mo in light of the buyout. Also, Verizon sold all their contracts to AT&T in my area, so I know a lot of people that are switching to Sprint. So lots of people are looking for a phone, and most of them aren't the wait and see type, they are the type that will walk into the Sprint store, look around, and buy the best phone they see. Add to that the fact that Sprint hasn't done anything outlandishly stupid to make people leave them lately, and I think we have a good market for the device. They may not sell out, but I think they'll move all of their stock just in time for new product to come in.

 

[ArmageddonX]

This is going to sound strange & maybe sad for some of us Geeks... but I know a lot of people personally who aren't technologically inclined and would buy the "3D phone" just because of the 3D. The same people who don't care about technical specifications, numbers, or megapixels.

Now, 3D is not a big feature to me personally. However if it is marketed correctly they'll hit a niche market that no other phone can hit right now. Just my thoughts on the subject of appealing to the masses.

 

[Halfbaked]

iPhone customers are not cross shopping android devices. (I am, but I'm an exception)

Nobody I know who has an iPhone would consider, even for a second, giving up an Apple device for something from some no-name Chinese company. They want to continue to use a phone they're familiar with and could give half a sh*t about megapixels, snapdragons, 3D, etc.

Just wait and see. And I think big, but lots of AT&T contracts in general will end this month and in July. We have lots of iPhone lovers on this forum whether they will admit it or not. And with Ice Cream Sandwich resolving the fragmentation issues will be a huge boost to the OS. That is what has stopped Android from overwhelming Apple in my opinion.

 

[AndroidMax]

I just put a $50 deposit down on mine at the local Radioshack. I was only the 5th person to reserve one at a very popular shack in the burbs area of Indy.... It's out in 2 weeks, so.... probably not as hot as the Evo was at it's release, but I bet it sells a shit ton (technical term)...

p.s.. The Shack offered me $100 trade in on my Evo... LOFL...

 

[BenChase7]

...I bet it sells a shit ton (technical term)...

.

LOL! I like that

 

[Halfbaked]

Only phone nerds know about the release, but the masses will come if we do our jobs right. Everyone is now employed by Sprint/HTC/Android. Sell the 3VO so it can rule the world. Muhahahaha

Typically I only hit up the Sprint website to pay my bills and I doubt the regular Sprint customers pay a lot of attention to their website. But the ads and commercials will pull those folks in.

 

[EarlyMon]

The smartphone market size is growing, it's not static and limited to existing owners upgrading.

 

[RedWingsFan]

You are also making a strong assumption, who are you to say the 3D won't be as high in demand as the Evo. Do you own a time machine of some sort? .......

No, just like you I don't own a time machine.

My opinion is based on what I see when it comes to hype, or lack thereof, for the EVO 3D.

I spend a lot of time on message boards that are dedicated to Android, tech devices, and certain providers. Currently there isn't much buzz for the 3VO like there was for the EVO 4G. Last year there were people coming out of the woodwork excited about the EVO 4G and a lot of people talking about leaving their current carrier to come to Sprint just because of the EVO 4G. This year I'm not seeing the same thing. I don't see as much excitement or people claiming they are leaving Verizon, AT&T, or T-Mobile to come to sprint just for the EVO 3D. Are there people that are? Yes.....but in my opinion it is not as much.

I also spend a lot of time reading technology based articles/blogs and again, that same hype is not there. Yes, the EVO 3D is being reported, but the reaction isn't the same as what we saw last year.

It seems most of the hype is coming from those people that are current EVO 4G customers and are looking to get version 2.

 

[RedWingsFan]

Only phone nerds know about the release, but the masses will come if we do our jobs right. Everyone is now employed by Sprint/HTC/Android. Sell the 3VO so it can rule the world. Muhahahaha

Typically I only hit up the Sprint website to pay my bills and I doubt the regular Sprint customers pay a lot of attention to their website. But the ads and commercials will pull those folks in.

That is a huge problem. I am seeing no advertising regarding the EVO 3D.

Last year it was "Get the first 4G phone" on the market. This year should be "Get the first 3D phone" (is it the 1st?) since that is the only thing they can really market. The general public doesn't care about the screen, amount of RAM/ROM, or that it now has a dual core processor. The people that care about that stuff already know about the EVO 3D.