I think it's in reverse. HTC has to go through two processes. First, they port Sense to a version of Android. Secondly, they they port that package to a phone.
Sense has been ported to 2.2. "New" Sense was ported to 2.2.1. So far, HTC has not completed porting any version of Sense to 2.3, and doesn't look to have it done anytime soon (Thunderbolt launches with 2.2.1, no update plans announced for Desire HD or desire Z to 2.3).
I see the Incredible getting an official update to 2.2.1 and New Sense (given that HTC already unofficially confirmed this), but a 2.3 update would have to occur after the Incredible's end of life, making it highly unlikely. But again, that's speculation on my part.
You can flash the Desire Z port for the Incredible and use the HTC Sense website. XDA has a lot of good ROMs
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