Prediction: Smartphone vs Wearables

No small wearable. If you are farsighted, you'd need help reading info on a watch, and having watch speak all your info could get embarrassing. Citizen would have to put it out.
I've had my Citizen watch for over 10 years on the original charge.

Also no wearable a la Google glass out and about. NO DRIVING, and in some cases you can be busted for being a pain while you are walking. Find a place to sit down and enjoy your toys, but not at others' expense.

You are describing what's called a "personal area network" of peripherals around a hub (in your model the watch). It was a fashionable "concept" a few years back, gone a bit quiet lately, but always seemed possible to me.

However, I think it's much more likely that the hub will be a phone than a watch on the timescale here: packing the radios and battery into a watch in 3-5 years seems unlikely. Remember that the biggest gain in smartphone battery life in the last 5 years has simply been bigger batteries, partially made possible by design, part by bigger phones. Also there's heat dissipation from the main SoC to consider - how hot do you want your wrist to get when gaming or streaming (and heat isn't good for batteries, so another reason not to put it all in a tiny box just yet).

The challenge to this model is that a bigger hub is most attractive if it also works as a stand alone device, i.e. a phone, in which case the rest are optional accessories, which is where we are now. I can see things going the way you describe (maybe with a pocket hub, such as a small screen phone, at least initially), but on a longer timescale than that. But it will need a more compelling "screen" peripheral to drive adoption, such as proper AR overlay specs or pocketable roll-up screens - given that the hub can evolve, but while you are carrying a slab of screen anyway you may as well use the space for the most demanding processing and radio interfaces as well, rather than restrict these by sticking them in a much smaller device.

A smart watch will never be my main communication device, because I will never own one. I could never stand wearing a regular watch, and I'll definitely never wear one of those ridiculous Dick Tracy devices on my person.

Pants. Smart Pants!

Hi!
I think that smart watch is very useful for some categories of people. For driver, for senior, for active people, for children.
For example when I drive I use this
When I go to gym I use my polar watch

dontpanicbobby said:

Pants. Smart Pants!

Click to expand...

At least you won't forget those at home! (I hope)

"A digital watch was a piece of technology used as a timepiece. It was considered pretty primitive but the humans of Earth considered it to be a pretty neat idea."

HHGTTG

Yes, back in the days when you had to press a button on the watch to see the time - a feature brought back by many smartwatches