No chance. Apple Kook-Aid has been flowing pretty freely for about 3 years now. The damn "4G" iPhone hasn't even been officially announced yet and look at all the hoopla around it.
Can't change my vote, but I would revise it to at least 150,000 now - up from original 50k vote.
Why? ATT just announced it was doubling the iPhone user contract breakage fee from $175 to $350. Anyone using the iPhone looking to switch better get out now so I need to factor that into my new guess.
Since the new iPhone isn't expected to be 4G and will be most likely coming out on ATT (I still don't believe it will hit VZW due to the exclusivity), there's going to be some bailing going on. ATT's 3G network will not be able to handle any new iPhone user traffic and certainly videocalls alone will bring things to a grinding halt.
Well judging by another thread that said RS sold all of their 200,000 allotted preorder units. I'm goign to say the number is much closer to 600,000. that is guessing that BB preorders are greater than RS preorders + Sprint store orders.
the real question is; Will this phone break the iPhone opening weekend sales record?
It could be possible. When the iPhone came out they only could be bought in AT&T and Apple stores. It'll all be contingent upon whether Sprint will stock their retail stores with enough so they don't run out and then have another Pre disaster on their hands.
I don't think iPhone's going to be a huge hit outside the iPhone circle. Will it sell more - probably but the largest % of iPhone buyers will be iPhone owners. The upcoming iPhone isn't enough to win new customers.
Now if Evo had been marketed differently, it would have had a chance at least selling as many.
I don't have a clue, but if I would just throw in a number, I would guess around 100K. I have no clue why that's my number. I don't have facts nor do I have anything to go on it. Just a wild guess for me...
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