I hate double posting.
For those expressing concern over the Gingerbread update, here's some dates to consider.
-The droid Eris hit end of life in June, roughly 2 weeks after Froyo went open-source. The Droid 2 hit EOL on August 6th, about 10 weeks after. Huge difference when you're looking at a 1-3 month dev cycle. That's partly why the Droid got 2.2.
-2.2 went open source on May 20th, hit the Incredible on August 27th, roughly 3 month gap.
-Gingerbread is slated for "Q4 2010" according to Google, which means October-December. If we give HTC/Verizon a 4-month lead time, that means Gingerbread could in theory hit the Incredible between February-April.
-Incredible has a slated end of life for March 31st, 2011, meaning a Gingerbread release seems more likely based on the above timelines.
-Lastly, the timeline could be affected by the rumor of a baked in UI for 3.0. This could cause HTC to simply go with Widgets rather than a full UI overhaul (speeding up development cycle), or having to do more work to get Sense incorporated how we know it (slowing down the dev cycle). If the latter, Gingerbread becomes less likely.
If I had to guess, I would say that Gingerbread is coming to the Incredible, and that it will be the last OS update for our device. Of course, that is pure speculation on my part, so take it with a barrel of salt.