As long as the RIL isn't completely different from ICS to JB, someone will hack JB to work with the ICS RIL. Therefore we'll get JB, but no way is HTC/VZ gonna give it to us.
The last official statement said ICS in July-August. There are still people here saying that it won't get it despite the official statement.
Insofar as JB, I seriously doubt it. The Tbolt launched with Froyo, got the update to GB, and is scheduled for ICS. While JB is likely to breathe new life to the TBolt, I would not expect an official update.
Jelly bean will be possible if we can get the ICS RIL. Liquid is busy working on Jellybean as we speak. He already has a Almost functioning ICS build, all we lack is data. The rest is 99.9% ready. ICS was 4.0, Jelly is 4.1 Not much changed except some eye candy and broke some mods the devs had
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